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After the first quarter, is a 2011 a guaranteed winner?

The Standard and Poor’s 500 index rose about 5.4% in the first quarter, a good sign for the whole year if you are a follower of recent trends.

As the Global Macro Monitor site astutely points out, only once in the past twenty years has the market declined for the year after the S&P rose in Q1.

The offender was the year 2000, starting the millenium off with an optimistic 2% pop, only to finish out the year with a 10% setback.

Full stats from GMM:

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